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Tour de WoT - Tech tree icons for new players

Hello ladies and gents!
This guide is going to be geared towards the new player. It is one thing for us to point you at a Tier 10 and say "this is going to be perfect as your first Tier 10". What I want to do is point out the 'Icons of WoT' that you will find along the way.
These tanks are icons for a myriad of reasons. Unique Mechanics. Real world history. They could be a ton of fun to play. Sometimes, they are just so bad, you need warned ahead of time.
I will be presenting to you each nation, and giving you 3-5 tanks from each that you, as a new player, should try to experience playing - or in some cases - avoid playing at some time in your playing career. I will be using the following criteria in my choices:
  1. Must be at lowest Tier V, and at highest Tier IX. While there are several fun tanks at tier IV and lower, and many iconic Tier X's, tier V to IX is where you will spend the majority of your time in game, so this is where I am concentrating on.
  2. They must currently be in the tech tree. Yes, there are many fun/unique tanks that are now collector tanks in the collector store (you have to have a tank of the same nation/tier unlocked to get access to these tanks). There are even many awesome and fun premiums out there. But for the purposes of this guide, I am going with tech tree only.
  3. I will describe why they are icons and why I believe you should experience playing them or even keeping in garage.
  4. I am human and can't keep my opinions fully out of this. So in that stead, I hope that our community can also chime in and add in their opinions on some iconic tanks that they think I overlooked.
These will be in no particular order. These are just tanks that are iconic. Hopefully, once you play them, you will find out why!
Tank Comments
M4A1 A classic vehicle. The M4 Sherman is one of the most well known tanks in history. In game, it is quite decent in its historical setup with the 76mm. However, this tank comes into its own with the 105mm howitzer mounted. No, you will not always have great games in it. However, it is rare to come away from a match without at least 1 laugh from a massive damage roll when a HE round from your howitzer hits and penetrates your enemy. This is a fun one to keep around for occasional credit grinding or random low/mid tier lols.
T29 While only a test-bed in real life, this tank has become a monster in this game. Even from the earliest days of WoT, this has been very powerful. The turret is nigh impenetrable frontally by anything it can face. It has a good 'stock' configuration with the 90mm from the M6 Heavy the tier before. Fully upgraded, this is one of a handful of tanks in this game that you can single handedly control the match in, even when bottom tier. Good in a beginner's hands. Monstrously overpowering in a good player's hands. This heavy will almost assuredly help you appreciate learning the art of hull-down.
T49 There are some amazing scouts in this game. This is not one of them. There are amazing combat lights in this game. This is not one of them. There is only 1 King of Derp. This is not him. Let me introduce you to the Prince of Derp. This is one of the tanks where it isn't the best at anything other than being a rush of excitement and fun almost every time you take it out in a match. The ability to speed along side of and/or behind an opponent, then tick off 1/2 or more of their health in a single hit? Evaporate enemy light tanks in a single shot? That is what this is about. Far from the best scout. However, easily one of the most fun light tanks you will ever play. Well worth keeping in garage just for the lol-factor alone.
T95 There are many TD's that are technically 'better' vehicles. There are, however, none more intimidating. Affectionately known as "The Doom Turtle" for good reason. You can solo hold a flank against insurmountable odds, because people are afraid to push you. You are nigh invulnerable frontally and will laugh as enemies donk shot after shot into you as you absorb it all without losing a single HP of damage. Yes, it is slow. Yes, it has weaknesses. In relation to WoT, it is still probably the most iconic TD in this game. This is a TD that you will learn to be cautious of, as the first time you make the mistake of wondering in front of one in a match, you will learn a very painful lesson.
M44 Who said I couldn't call an arty iconic? You want to be hated? You want to be cursed at? You want people to tell you how they hope that you and all your family die of aids, cancer, being raped, or name-your-terrible-end? This is the vehicle for you. Great at earning credits. Often called one of the most OP/broken vehicles in the game. Whether you love arty, hate arty, or just don't care either way, you have to admit, this one stands out.

Tank Comments
Rhm.-B. WT There are some really iconic TD's in the German tree; almost all of them for historical reasons. However, for gameplay reasons, this one takes the strudel. A tissue in a hurricane has more armor. What makes this one stand out is the turret and 2 great gun choices. You can't go wrong with either gun, but my personal opinion is to use the 15cm for the lols. It is worth keeping in your garage. It is very powerful in the right circumstances, and it is rare that the 15cm gun won't give you at least 1 smile per match.
Tiger I In a tree full of historically significant tanks, one of them has to stand out. While not well armored compared to its peers, it has one of the best DPM's tier-for-tier in the game. It has an amazing ability to whittle away tons of health before the enemy even realizes it is gone. One of the first tanks people often admit to grinding to because of how famous it was from WW2. Don't expect the armor to save you. If you can keep safe while letting the gun sing - you should have some memorable matches before you move up to the recently buffed big brother Tiger II.
E-50 A tree full of historically significant tanks, and I go with a tank that is at best a paper concept? You can keep your Panther's and Tiger's. I - and many others in the game before you - take a sick and twisted joy out of ramming an enemy to death. One of the 3 or 4 best tanks for ramming in the game, you will find yourself grinning savagely as you slam into the enemy and do 500, 600, 700, even upwards of 1k damage on a lightly armored opponent. It doesn't happen very often, but the opportunity will arise, you will take it, and you will love it.
VK 100.01 P A heavy tank that isn't the Tiger 2, or other historical icon? No. This is a proto-Maus. It has absurd amounts of armor. Properly angled, it can even shrug off Tier 10's like they are nothing - if they are guilty of auto-aiming. It is slow as molasses. The stock gun works surprisingly well, and the top gun is beastly when top tier. When top tier against VI's and VII's, you are practically unkillable. Yes, people want the Maus because of how absurdly armored it is. However, this one is more absurd, considering the amount of armor it has against the opponents it gets to face.
Leopard PT A 'German Accuracy' is a meme in this game. However, this is the tank that defines it. What used to be a tank nobody wanted, WG buffed it and it suddenly became a mobile murder-mobile. Great gun handling, great mobility, all tempered a bit with armor that is about tough as a soft, fluffy pillow. Even after recent nerfs to undo what WG felt to be an overbuff, it is still considered by many to be one of the best, if not the best, mediums at tier 9 in the game.

Tank Comments
KV-2 Average armor. As quick as an one-legged cheetah. As stealthy as an elephant with bad gas. The KV-2 just doesn't care. Top or bottom tier. Open or city map. If there is ever a tank that I believe that every single player in this game should have in their garage, it is the KV-2. Once you fully research this out, you will start to realize why there are so many videos from content creators that feature the tank we lovingly call "The King of Derp". It is nearly impossible to play this tank and be mad. If you ever need a pick-me-up - KV-2 is here for you.
T-34-85 Based on a variation of one of the most famous tanks of WWII, this medium tank will captivate you and have you begging for more. If there was ever a perfect introduction to medium tank play, this is it. Mobility is high. It has armor that can work in the right situations. Gun choices galore. Even better? This leads to many of the most beloved high tier mediums in the game. If you want a medium tank branch to go down first - choose this, and you will likely be 100% satisfied
T-54 From an icon of WWII to an icon of the Cold War. In the beginning of WoT, this was known as the UFO - the netcode was so bad, that this tank appeared to 'teleport' around the battlefield. Now, it is easily one of the most dominant - in a good player's hands - tanks in the entire game. High mobility, good armor, and gun choices that will leave you satisfied. There are many who keep this in garage with a good crew, even after unlocking the Object 140 at tier X. It is absolutely a keeper.
IS-3 In a tree full of memorable and iconic heavies, it is hard to be more memorable than this. Trollish armor. Powerful Gun. Decent mobility. This is a heavy many folks will tell you they enjoyed - and for good reason. This one will likely give you a lot of fond memories as you work your way up to Tier X.
S-51 Another arty? Has Private_Public gone mad? Nay, I say! Nay! After changes to SPG's over the years, this is not the dreaded and fearsome armageddon machine it used to be. It no longer 1-shots even Tier 10's with impunity. However, for many players, this is the first SPG where you cross the 200mm size mark with a gun. It is slow, with terrible gun handling. You play this for one reason only - the splash radius and damage potential can cause grins for you, and many curses flung your way post-match.

Tank Comments
Black Prince The UK tree has some really great and memorable tanks that are great fun to play. This one is an icon for a different reason. It is almost universally agreed upon as one of the worst heavy tanks tier for tier in the game. I personally loved it (then again, I'm daft in the head and love bad tanks). The mobility is bad. The armor only sort of works when top tier. The gun will have you crying many salty tears for how anemic it is. However, it is definitely all worth it, as Tier VIII+ in this branch are all good-to-great.
Conqueror The Centurions are icons for historical reasons, so it is hard to keep them out of this list. This is an icon because of gameplay reasons. Years ago before changes to the tree, this was a rough stock grind. Now, this is one of the easiest stock grinds at Tier IX. Fully upgraded, this heavy is more powerful than many Tier X tanks. It also includes a British mainstay - HESH rounds (HE rounds with high pen) that lets you do nasty things to tanks that have light armor or if you catch them in the side/rear. Take what you have learned about playing hull down and abuse it, here. You will find it pays off as you bounce shot after shot.
ALL UK Lights Tier 5+ I have a soft spot for the Covenanter in my heart. I still find it fun to play. But my goodness, is the rest of the branch made of rotten haggis. Some people will defend the Tier X as being "OK" and fun to play. However, the rest of the line to get there will have you hating yourself and wondering why WG would ever purposely try to ruin an entire tech tree with the stench of a single branch this bad.
Tortoise In a line full of heavily armored TD's with high DPM, this is easily the highlight. Tough enough to brawl up close with heavies. Accurate enough to snipe from range. 2nd highest DPM in the game. After buffs to this TD, it has become a gem that many people come to highly appreciate. While the Badger a tier up is more of the same, it just doesn't quite have the same magic.
Cromwell I would be remiss to leave this off the list. Have you ever heard of the concept "spray and pray"? This tank epitomizes that concept. It has a selection of guns that have such bad soft stats, it can't hit a target while on the move, with the target taped to the end of the gun barrel. The real joy in this tank comes when played in platoons of 3. You can swarm an enemy at close range with high mobility. With 3 guns and a high right of fire, you will be draining enemy HP so fast, they are back to garage before they can blink. Good alone. A monster in a platoon.

Tank Comments
AMX 65T I hated this tank. Everyone else who has played this tank hates it. You will hate it. If there was an award for 'worst tank in the game', this is surely it. This is a heavy tank with no armor, no mobility, and turrets that don't make up for it. It has gun handling that makes you want to gouge your eyes out with spoons made of sandpaper. If this tank had good mobility, it would be fine. If this tank had the armor to back up the poor mobility, it'd be fine. Without either, this is the most putrid tank in this entire tree, and possibly, the entire game. However, the tier IX and X past it are both definitely good.
Lynx 6x6 Until this point, the wheeled lights in this tree haven't been anything of note other than having an awesome anti-scout HE round. This is where you first get access to the high-mobility mode you will come to learn to both love and curse as you play up the tree. This will give you taste of what is to come.
AMX 13 90 When I first obtained this vehicle, it was a Tier VII light. Through the years (and expansion to the trees), it has seen time at tier VIII and now tier IX. It is far from the best scout. However, mid-late game, it is probably one of the most dangerous, as you suddenly become capable of possibly removing multiple tanks from the field in a single clip. In this tank, you are able to quickly turn the tide for your team in a tight match.
AMX 50 100 It is not a great heavy. It has no armor. It is large. It has a very slow clip load time. However, what this tank excels at is teaching you to conserve your HP, and to be careful on your trades. If you play your cards right, you are now one of the most deadly tanks in the game in the late match. With the ability to do 1800 damage in just a few seconds, you can in a single clip remove 2, 3, 4, or more tanks so quickly, that a tight match is suddenly blown wide open. Be cautious at the start of the match, go wild late match. A good tank to learn an appreciation for how powerful autoloaders can be in 'crunch time'.
AMX M4 51 How do you follow up possibly the worst tech tree tank in the game? The WG way - one of the best heavies in the game. Extremely strong frontal armor. 2 good guns that give 2 playstyles - brawling action, or aiming for overmatches on highly angled turret roofs or Swedish TD's. While many do not like the Tier X nearly as much, this heavy proves that the French are the best lovers. It will treat you right every time you take it out for a date.

Tank Comments
Skoda T 25 Pretty quick. Turns about as well as yak with a rocket stuck to it's back. The autoloader, along with the extremely fast reload, make this a great credit grinder in a good player's hands, and a very deadly opponent on the battlefield. Unfortunately, to get to the next good tank in the tree, you have to put up with some terrible times.
TVP VTU Speaking of terrible times, this is it. While the Tier VII is bad in its own right, this one is takes the bad to a new level. While I liked it (I tend to like 'bad tanks' as it is fun for me to find something positive about them), I'm the oddball here. Take the Tier VI premium Skoda T40. Stick it at Tier VIII with a slightly better gun. That is all you need to know.
Skoda T50 Sometimes, the grind is bad and there is never a payoff. In this case, there is a massive pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. While buffs to other medium tanks have curtailed enthusiasm for this medium tank some, it is still considered one of the most powerful mediums in the game. It is highly mobile, has very quick damage burst with its autoloader, and quickly reloads its clip, allowing you to keep up the pressure. If you are willing to put up with tier VII and VIII being terrible, then your payoff is 100% worth it.

Tank Comments
O-I There is a King of Derp. There is a Prince of Derp. This is the cheap Japanese Imitation Derp. It is massive. It is slow. It is heavily armored. Just like the KV-2, it just doesn't care what match it is in. Also, you will likely be using the same 15cm howitzer up to Tier VIII, so get used to it. You also will learn to get used to seeing your hit-log in match be full of premium rounds, as people just do not bother searching for your weak spots.
Chi-Ri A medium tank larger than many heavy tanks in the game. Decent mobility. Armor that couldn't stop a butterfly from penetrating if it lands too hard. Despite all of this, many who play it fall strangely in love with it. It has one of the more unique guns in the game: a 3 shot autoloader that does low damage, but that loads extremely quickly. I personally never understood the thrill, but many swear by it. Maybe you too, will one day play this tank and fall in love.
Type 4 Heavy Armor that works until it doesn't. That is often the kindest thing people say about this heavy tank. If you are top tier against Tier VII's and VIII's, you are probably going to have a good time. Against Tier IX and Tier X? You are an XP Piñata. More frustrating than fun to play. However, those rare good games may just keep you coming back for more.

Tank Comments
WZ-132 In a game where 'traditional' light tanks are falling by the wayside, this one still holds its own. A better medium tank than the equal tier medium of the same tree. When the light tanks got an overall general nerf, this one was barely touched. It is a good light tank. While you may never go past it in the branch, you will probably appreciate it for what it is capable of. One of the more powerful combat lights in the game.
WZ-111 1-4 People tend to ignore the Chinese tree because of 'copycat syndrome'. I believe that is a mistake. This is one of my personal favorite heavies in the game, and a favorite to many who play it. Mobile, hard hitting, and a decent turret. A heavy that you can play like a medium, and out-slug those same mediums you raced to face. It is a bit of a grind to get there, but the 130mm gun on this heavy turns you into a deadly anti-medium.
T-34-2 In a tree of forgettable tanks, this one gives the AMX 65T of the French tree a run for its money as worst tank in the game. On paper, it is attractive. It is mobile. It has decent armor and a great turret. It has good guns with a lot of alpha damage. In reality once you play it, it all falls apart. This is one of the worst grinds in the game. With upcoming buffs to this branch, things might change.

Tank Comments
25TP Fully upgraded, this should be a good tank. It is mobile and has a good gun for the Tier. This problem is, to get there, you have to put up with one of the worst stock grinds in the game. If you are a new player, you won't have a bank of free xp built up to help unlock modules. One of the most frustrating grinds in the game, with a payoff being an OK, but not great, tank.
B.U.G.I. This is a tank that shouldn't work. It is awkward and on paper, just doesn't look good. In practice, this is one of the more fun tanks you can play in this game. With a choice of a normal gun (with high alpha for a medium of the tier) or a howitzer for derp action - you will find a way to play it that works for you. While the rest of the mediums are considered 'blah' aside from the Tier X, this one might just find a new home in your garage.
50TP Another one that on paper, just doesn't look exciting. However, fully researched, this is a hidden gem. Heck, Tier VIII and up on this branch are all hidden gems that people overlook because of the horrible grind to get here. The armor won't save often. However, when it does work, it works amazingly well. The top gun allows you to Hulk Smash enemies. Definitely worth the grind. The 60TP that follows has quickly become my personal favorite Tier X heavy tank.

Tank Comments
UDES 03 Want to be a Norse Ninja? Want to be able to drive backwards faster than most tanks in the game can drive forwards? Want a gun so good, you almost never have to fire premium ammo, even at tanks 2 tiers higher? Want a unique mechanic that only a handful of other tanks in the game have? This TD is for you. While a MBT in real life, in game, this tank acts more like a tank destroyer (thus the designation as such). Both tanks following it are improvements on this vehicle. However, first loves stick with you as more memorable than your 2nd and 3rd loves.
Emil II Want to be a heavy tank that is smaller than some light tanks in the game? Oh, want to add in invincible frontal turret armor, 10+ degrees of gun depression, and an autoloader to it? Look no further. While not a great heavy tank in its own right, when you get the chance to play hull down, you go from average to becoming Thor himself.
IKV 103 At the same time both the best and worst tier 5 TD in the game. When it works, it works. However, when it doesn't, oh boy does it not. It is also unique in that the best gun on it only fires HEAT. No AP. No HE. Only HEAT. If you can make it work and learn to aim for solid armor and not spaced armor, then the top gun lets you do silly things.

Tank Comments
P.43 This is a medium tank that acts like a heavy. It brawls like a heavy. It hits hard like a heavy. It is as slow as a heavy. While not a great tank, as Shrek told Donkey "That'll do."
P.43 ter Tier VII is usually pretty awkward. This tank is no different. However, the moment you unlock the top engine and mount it, you go from a middle-of-the-road medium to a hard hitting and very mobile medium. It may not be the best medium in the game, but it surely is up there for how much a simple tech upgrade can change the way you play/view a tank.
P.44 Pantera Auto-reloader mechanic. That is all. Wait, you want me to say more? Seriously, the auto-reloading mechanic puts regular auto loaders to shame. You can play as a single shot medium and maintain DPM. You can dump your clip for a quick burst of damage. Fully upgraded, this medium is mobile, extremely versatile, and secretly, a good rammer. Even if you go no further in this tree, you will probably love this tank - especially if you like regular autoloaders.
submitted by TollhouseFrank to WorldofTanks [link] [comments]

Kaiserreich Beta 0.13 - ‘A King and his Captain’

Continuing our pattern of smaller, more focused updates we are delighted to bring you the Romanian rework! Of course we haven’t been idle in other places; many other nations, notably Serbia, have received changes as well. In addition, we are very pleased to give you one of our greatest performance improvements to date as a result of our new division limit and our totally rewritten annexation decisions; details for both can be found below. We hope you enjoy this update!
- The KR4 team
New Systems
Division Limit:
A new mechanic has been added to all nations; the division limit. It represents the total number of divisions that a country can safely support. The AI will simply not build past this limit. Players can build past this limit, but they will be notified when they’re over it (via a flashing alert on their Recruit & Deploy tab) and will receive a malus that increases the more they go over that limit.
Other Notable Additions
Reworked/Expanded Focus Trees
New Events
New Decisions
New Custom Country Paths
New Game Rules
New portraits for:
Music Mod
Notable Fixes
Other Fixes
We hope you enjoy playing Kaiserreich as much as we did making it!
- The KR4 Team: Alpinia, Arvidus, Augenis, Blackfalcon501, DSFDarker, Carmain, Dr. Njitram, Drozdovite, Edouard Saladier, Éloïse, Eragaxshim, Fbruchmueller, Flamefang, Fort, Gideones, JazzyHugh, Jeankedezeehond, Jonjon428, Jonny BL, Krco, Liegnitz, Maltesefalcon, Matoro, NukeGaming, OperationsManagementDecisions, PPsyrius, Pietrus, Rei VL, Rylock, SPQR, Starguard, Telcontar101, The Alpha Dog, Thomahawk2k, Vidyaország, WordZero, Yard1, Zankoas and Zimbabwe Salt Co.
submitted by Flamefang92 to Kaiserreich [link] [comments]

The biggest stock market crash could be coming

The biggest stock market crash could be coming ,want to know the reasons ,read them below ,and yes please read the full information .Just read 20 points mentioned below : it will take 5 minutes of your time But could save big money ..
1) Rbi has said there is disconnect between real economy and stock markets , what it means is that economy is weak and stock market is still rising means its a bubble in making which will burst soon.
2) Rbi`s Financial stability report has warned that there would be rise in defaults . what it means in simple words that many small and big businessmen’s wont be able to pay their loans back to the back and even many big industrialists could fail in paying the loans back to the bank ,even Some people who lost their Jobs due to covid 19 will be unable to pay their loans back .This could be the biggest trouble Indian banking system has ever faced .
3) The cases of corona are rising all over the world and the pandemic is not ready to stop and is still spreading at a great speed ,it has completely halted the world economy .in simple word it means that world economy is even in bigger depression than ever .
4) Some central banks in world have already told that as the pandemic ends they will stop providing interest at lower rates which they are providing now due to corona ,This will suck out the liquidity which is available now and stock markets will crash so badly that people will not be able to even exit their positions and will be facing huge losses.
5) Specially in India where the economy is in problem and facing slowdown since last three years due to bad implication of gst ,demonetisation and Taxes like LTCG On stock markets , There could be Huge rise in bad loans.
6) Economists are Forecasting That gross domestic production can shrink between 5 to 10 percent which is a very bad sign for Indian economy.
7) If one carefully studies the data of this rise ,most mutual funds ,fiis and star investors are exiting mid caps and small caps in this rally which means even fiis and mutual funds and smart investors know that this is not a real bull market rally but a bear market rally which will end soon trapping lots of investors on the buying side.
8) Most of The rally in Indian stock market is due to reliance industries and not many large caps ,mid caps and small caps are participating in this rally clearly indicating that there is not much buying interest in other stocks.More than 50 to 60 percent of rally in Indian stock market is fuelled by reliance ,the day reliance starts correcting no sector will be there to support Indian markets .
9) On whats app there are thousands of messages going around to buy mid caps and small caps ,on you tube one can find thousands of videos predicting multibaggers ,sms are roaming around like wildfire to buy stocks ,lots of traders and investors have started betting on small caps and mid caps on basis of this kind of recommendations on whats app ,you tube and twitter .
10) Around 1.2 million new demat accounts have been opened since lockdown , This means that people who are free due to job losses or business shutting down have started betting or investing in stock markets ,This kind of new investors may be going for short term money or quick money and may be investing in mid caps or small caps.
11) Even Imf has warned about the on going rally in the world markets ,it simply means that this rally in world markets is a big big bubble which will burst in a bad way. 12) Auto and auto ancillary industry is in bad shape in india since last 3 to 4 years showing no signs of recovery and no recovery is expected even in next 3 to 4 years .
13) Trade war between USA AND CHINA is escalating ,this is the new cold war of our times and the most dangerous one ,this cold war between America and china will keep the world growth engine slow and very slow.
14) This rally in world markets is mainly due to liquidity ,As the bond buying by fed and European world banks end ,liquidity will dry up around the globe leading to huge world market crash globally .
15) Around 400 million Job losses are estimated in the world due to covid 19 ,some predictions even go to 650 million Job losses.
17) It is highly feared that second wave of CORONA will be even dangerous than the first wave.
18) IT is feared that China has bought WHO ,so world is not trusting WHO anymore ,even usa stopped providing aids to WHO.
19) Situation in Hong kong is out of control , Protests are not stopping in hong kong.
20 ) Developed and major economies of the world such as European region ,America ,great Britain ,Japan ,Saudi Arabia ,China ,Dubai ,Russia ,south korea ,Taiwan ,Hong long ,Australia ,new Zealand ,Brazil ,mexico etc are starring at longer recessions.
Note- we are facing the biggest downturn of the century due to covid 19 ,when the liquidity gush ends in world markets which is expected to end soon ,we could be looking at biggest stock market crash of the last 2 decades ,Please be cautious .Do not leverage for buying stocks ,Do not get aggressive in buying stocks in the bad times of covid 19,global economy is still in lockdown mode.Growth will take a long long time to come back .
submitted by pratik1698 to india [link] [comments]

[Review] Christmas Banner

Yo. Since Christmas banner is around the corner, might as well just outright say what's on every veteran's minds in this game.
First of all, let me make this clear:
There is powercreep in this game. But it's the powercreep of convenience. You clear faster or more consistently in auto with the meta characters, so that means you get stats faster. You get stats faster, you can finish stuff quicker. It's basically like FGO with Skadi cheesing. You only do it to save time.
Welfares do work, but you put in more time because... well, they don't clear as fast on auto for obvious reasons. Even recent welfares have awful statlines, awful passives and even awful skills in all general. There is a reason why "K" streams his attempts. It shows his dedication towards trying to make that welfare run work. And sometimes it takes 3 hours of absolutely no progress.
Even then, you guys want to save time efficiently, don't you? Some (not all) of you guys playing have lives and want to take it casually, so you are here in this game. You guys want progress to be smooth as butter? Buckle up, because you're going on a ride.
Disclaimer: This is a FULL Meta analysis of the banner and how it will reflect on your teams further in. Powercreep comes? Update your kits. Such things like that. You see things you need and you grab them to optimize team setups more and more.
No, I'm not making a tier list because this game really is "play it by ear". I need Cold DPS? 1st Anniversary comes? I pull SS Liz. After, I need wind? I pull SS Byunei on Spring Festival. Look at your team, look at who needs an update and who isn't carrying their weight as much. Replace the rusty parts with better efficient parts with newer stuff like Weakness Advantage IV, Fired Up V or new skills.
These posts won't be for "everything works as long as you try" discussions.
It's for "you want fast auto team clears to get stats to get up to speed on Robin Cup, Ultra Hard, Back Dojo, Spiral Corridor and Romancing difficulty?". You listen to the advice here.
Disclaimer 2: Flux in the Discord has made a SS Style database for JP players with translations. This resource is meant for the casual player who just wants to find out about a character.
Link to source: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AUquzPB0vDKYxOHC1uU4G7CNrNSNwLr89MOTWjQBNu0/edit?usp=sharing
To rerollers who are starting out:
I suggested rerolling (if you do it because it's easy) to at least start with SS Blue. Yeah, I hear SS Azami all the time but I think SS Albert and SS Blue makes a lot of stuff a joke later down the line also in general. Sun's ridiculously stupid in terms of vs. Undeads.
If you reroll during XMas, reroll for Christmas Monica then either SS Albert, SS Blue or SS Azami. I honestly think these four should be the best "gunpowder" units to get your account growth exploding just right. Especially when Monica, Julian, Azami and Windie will have a 2x stat drop event during the XMas event.
The Global me says:
If you are full metagaming, then I'd suggest you go to another banner. This banner's completely a dumpster fire if anything due to how most of these characters lose basically almost all reason to be used after 0.5-1.0 Anniversary over others.
The ones you want to save for are these if you want auto consistency:
  • White Rose Princess (Ability to full heal almost consistently with currently in JP being able to heal any character to full HP and cleanse easily)
  • 0.5 Anniversary Asellus (Ability to 4BP -INT Debuff stack constantly).
These were the notable characters in the first six months that are limited.
There are other runner-ups like Roc, Koumei and Cordelia but they're normal pool and not limited.
The Japan server me said:
Santa outfit Monica looks cute... Wait, I got Julian.
Ooh, Christmas Ginny, going for that. She's cute.

Round 1: Christmas Monica, Christmas Julian, Christmas Azami, Christmas Windie, Christmas Snowman

SS Christmas Monica is probably the prize out of anyone.
Pros: Southern Cross turn-1 with a 2 turn BP cycle of constantly using a A-power skill at max awakening in her second skill. Personally, I don't like the critical damage bonus, but it's fieldable compared to Hardy Wallop (which is gone the instant a monster gets out an AOE). The most important part is still the 85% DEX Multiplier, which ends up giving her a much better DPS potential then Fat Robin.
Cons: However... She's kinda subpar besides a 2-turn cycle and damage potential via Fired Up IV and Fighting Spirit II (DEX). The only reason you would use her is for just needing a solid Pierce-attribute specialist that'll get you plenty far... But Selma does a much better job then that later down the line. This doesn't include how the 3rd Award ceremony Monica blows this Monica out the water.
Even then, 3rd Award Final Empress does so much of a better job then SS Christmas Julian ever will.
SS Christmas Julian is... uh... a stunner, I guess.
Pro: Julian has a 2-turn BP Cycle A-Power stun and can also decrease stun resistance. Besides that, he also has a chance to debuff WIL (Edit: well then, whoops). So he's not really that bad in terms of Jammer stuff. Really could be worse by making the debuff AGI.
Con: If you are going to get a stunner, just save for Summer Jamil. There are two major problems for Julian.
  1. Stuns only work if you attack first.
  2. It's scaled by INT.
With his low growth rate in AGI, Julian ends up struggling to make a splash and requires being carried for his stat gains. This means that you basically end up needing a carry team to begin with. Besides that, his low INT isn't doing him any justice when Jamil walks in during Year 1 Summer with 21% more INT. I would not recommend pulling for Julian unless you like his outfit.
S Azami/A Windie/S Snowman
If you are going to pull for Azami for Submission, go just wait for Summer Azami. She has Submission and has a better multiplier set overall. Edit: Can't even coin pity her. A shame.
A Windie's entire schtick is that she has a Support skill that grants someone mitigation. Sadly, I don't think it's enough to really make her stick out that amazingly.
Welfare: I freaking love S Snowman. Hope to Entrust I (when ko'd, heal party), heal, heal enhancement. The only problem is that heals scale by SP/Elemental attack, which does not drop for maces until you get to VH7 and beyond. However, with that weapon, he ends up being a very solid secondary healer pick next to SS Sophia.

Round 2: Christmas Ginny, Christmas Albert, Christmas Cat, Christmas Tatyana, Christmas Sophia

SS Ginny
Pros: SS Ginny comes with a few perks. Being one of the few who can debuff WIL with a skill (only SS Strife, SS Award White Rose Princess and SS Judy can debuff WIL). This is pretty much as best as it will ever get due to how Ginny's strength is the ability for her to choose her debuffs for the fight. Onsen style brings out INT debuffs to nail some magic AOE spamming sonuvabitch while Fire Guardian variant brings out the STR debuffs alongside Bonebreaker to twist the arms off of a couple of sword-spamming bosses like Golden Lion Princess or 30th SaGa World Raid Noel later on.
Cons: SS Christmas Ginny's biggest problem is the same as SS Christmas Julian's.
My first gripe is: She has way too good styles later on that will basically almost never let her field stuff from her Christmas or Release styles. Onsen Style constantly has to use her 2BP INT debuff while Fire Guardian variant constantly spams Bonebreaker. However, unlike Julian, SS Christmas Ginny does give Onsen and Fire Guardian Ginny the option to work with either an AOE (Ground slam) starter should she want it. Remember the stun doesn't really do much for the skill since Onsen and Fire Guardian Ginny have low INT.
My second gripe is: If the cost of Water Moon was 13BP instead of 14BP, she would be much, much more celebrated and end up being recommended the most in general. 10BP for a amazing WIL debuffing starter. Sadly, White Rose and Judy's got that covered at this point.
SS Albert
Pro: Albert's pretty weird in general. He has a AGI buff, turn-1 Multiway alongside a kit that shows that he's meant to be some kind of off-tank who is meant to eat only AOE attacks.
The best way to play him is as an DPS. Inherit the B-power attack from S Albert that you get from Garuda alongside awakening Multi-way to 10BP gives him a solid 2-turn B-Power cycle with a starting Multiway. Granted, this will be outdone by many characters later but Albert is able to make up for that in the beginning by have "Hope to Entrust".
Con: Albert is REALLY weird to field. To this date, people are confused on what he wants to do.
You don't have much room to use his specialization because Parry and his aggro reduction passive really counteracts with each other. So it ends up being pretty counterintuitive to put him inside a high aggro formation spot because it defeats the purpose of one of his passives. To fix that, you would need to not go level 30, but that hurts his potential a lot in terms of stats. So in terms of potential, buff-tanking is not the way with him.
Also, do remember: Hope to Entrust is a double-edged sword. If your character is KO'd, they are still KO'd and cannot join in the DPS. Your party can fall pretty easily if you cannot do enough DPS or start losing members again and again, so it should be paramount that you should have focus in characters who only decide to DPS and nothing else (AKA Ellen has become amazing because of this reason, being only solely about damage). Albert's high END/WIL multipliers in level 50 also kind of counteract with Hope to Entrust because if 2-3 party members are down and Albert goes down, he's healing so little of the party left.
Albert's in a weird field where his passives are fieldable, but they still have the downside of "this could be replaced for more damage and be fielded much better in some situations or be fielded for other options and be better in some situations" kind of trouble that comes with jack-of-all-trades characters.
S Cat/A Tatyana/S Sophia
S Cat almost works in the same principal as S Azami. Both have a solid inheritance option but also ends up later with a much better SS Style. Unlike Azami, though, Cat's better SS style (which has better AGI/STR and solid INT) is a normal pool character released later. Even then, release SS Cat has access to Submission inherently so this S style is not too groundbreaking besides giving your SS styles for Cat some AOE capabiltiies.
A Tatyana's main perk is that she grants Bonebreaker to her later SS Variant, which is a huge boon considering Bonebreaker is hard to find. A type-killer with B-Power (making it basically A-Power against skeletons) with 6BP cost. Amazing since almost every Skeleton has physical attacks. As if that wasn't good enough, she also has Brainsplitter, a 9BP INT Debuffing skill that later gets to be upgraded from A-Rank damage to S-Rank damage thanks to the Skill Scrolling system introduced in 1.5 Anniversary. If you want to use SS Tatyana later as a debuff fielder at Wagnas banner, I suggest you grab this style if you can.
I want to reiterate that I think going all-in for S-A styles is not a good idea without the 9000/3000 coin pity in the banner coin shop. Still, if you do like Ginny and Albert enough to go for this banner, getting either of these will help the other styles of these characters a lot. (Edit: A Tatyana can be farmed)
Welfare: S Sophia comes in with a solid option of inheritance for SS Sophia as a AOE damage starter. It causes stun, but the main purpose of this is to just act as helping out in wave clears more then anything. For boss fights, you will be still using Bonecrusher most of the time due to how rare the skill is to find even in JP to this date.
submitted by xArceDuce to SaGa_ReuniverSe [link] [comments]

Market Analysis: Focusing on what is "baked into" the future with high probability

Hi All,
Like many other investors, I rapidly became overwhelmed with the uncertainty in the future. Consequently I decided to focus in on what we know now with high probability. Essentially this is assuming all fiscal / monetary policies as currently enacted and consensus estimates on COVID-19 mitigation (i.e. gradual resumption of normal commerce after mid to late Q2). See more detailed assumptions later.
Some facts going into the analysis:
In short, my analysis is that the US economy entered 2020 with modest to low growth prospects. While consumer spending and household debt servicing costs remained bright spots, modest wage gains coupled with high housing, education, and healthcare costs presented a mixed picture. Both business investment and manufacturing activity were subdued, although hopes for a "Phase 1" trade war seemed cause for modest optimism.
With those facts as background, here are my baked in assumptions for the following analysis:
Alright, onto the main event. Here is what I think is "baked" into the future assuming the above events:
I hesitate to forecast the future, because obviously there is significant uncertainty. However, my personal base case is that an immediate "V-shaped" recovery in asset prices is unlikely. For asset prices to reach or exceed 2020 levels would require corporates to either substantially increase earnings in mid to late 2020 AND investors to value future earnings at the same high levels of 2020. However, it is worth noting that the record low interest rates (and corresponding bond yields) and monetary easing could in theory drive investors into equities, real estates, private equity, etc. as the only option for positive returns. My personal base case is a sluggish recovery in mid to late 2020 with asset prices remaining volatile to shifts in sentiment. With the Fed stabilizing markets, a widespread global depression seems unlikely but could occur if high global debt levels trigger widespread corporate bankruptcies or some form of "stagflation". Another unlikely, but possible case is that the world emulates Japan after the early 1990s and experiences a long period of slow asset price decline as corporates deleverage, credit availability declines modestly, and no new global engines of growth emerge.
Edit #2: Adding in how to know I'm wrong
One thing that occurred to me is that since this analysis is slightly bearish, I should proactively offer some data points that would indicate I'm wrong / overly pessimistic:
Edit #3: Some people have correctly pointed out that India was not in a recession in 2019. Apologies, I should have said that growth had decelerated over 2019, with Q4 2019 growth estimated at ~4.7% compared to GDP of ~7% in 2018. I think my larger point stands that India's economy did not appear to be trending in a positive direction, and given their per capita income of ~$1700 4.7% is not sufficient to dramatically improve global growth.
Edit: My first gold and silver, thank you kind strangers!
submitted by cooleddy89 to investing [link] [comments]

[Megathread] Wuhan viral outbreak

This Megathread has been superceded by Megathread #3. Please share all articles and information pertaining to the viral outbreak that originated in Wuhan in that thread instead.
January 30:
January 29:
January 28:
January 27:
January 26:
January 25:
January 24:
January 23:
January 22:
January 21:
January 18:
December 31, 2019:
Selected social media and video posts - NOTE: MOST ARE UNOFFICIAL AND UNVERIFIED: information may not be accurate or true:
Previous megathread(s):
submitted by rChina_Announcements to China [link] [comments]

Overseas students in Japan face bleak job outlook due to pandemic

This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 63%. (I'm a bot)
Osaka - Many foreign students in Japan who hope to find a job in the country are facing an uphill battle, with a pandemic-driven economic downturn having led many businesses to cut recruitment.
The figure compared with 22.3 percent of 1,230 Japanese students without a job offer as of July, according to the Tokyo-based company.
International Students Support Network, a group that advises companies interested in hiring overseas personnel, said a loss of job opportunities was evident in almost all industries, particularly in the tourism and retail sectors.
Before the COVID-19 outbreak, a surge in overseas visitors to the country drove many Japanese firms to recruit foreign students.
The situation is proving serious for many foreign students at Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University in Oita Prefecture, who account for nearly half of the some 5,700-strong student body at the university, better known in English as APU. An Indian undergraduate student who wished to remain anonymous for fear of jeopardizing his job prospects said he had not been able to secure any job offers in his search for a sales career in advertising.
While Japan launched a new visa scheme in April last year to recruit mostly blue-collar foreigners in 14 labor-hungry sectors such as construction, farming and tourism, many foreign university students have sought jobs at businesses such as trading houses, information technology companies and consultancies.
Summary Source | FAQ | Feedback | Top keywords: student#1 foreign#2 job#3 company#4 country#5
Post found in /worldnews, /AutoNewspaper and /TJTauto.
NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
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Abigail Foundation, a value catcher on the highland

Abigail Foundation, a value catcher on the highland

Since the eighteenth century, people have experienced four industrial revolutions. Riding on the twists and turns of the progress of human civilization, modern cars has experienced a hundred years of ups and downs. In this long road of hundred years, the era has always undergone revolutionary technological changes, and the automotive industry has never left behind, and has been given vitality by new technologies.
The automobile business empire is built on the huge market demand. Food, clothing, housing and transportation are always the core of people's daily life. The market provides guidance for business activities. Around the entire automobile industry chain, many investors have long-term enthusiasm for participation.
The Abigail Foundation was established in 1987 and continuously explore innovative investments in the fields of industry, technology, and services. Thirty years ago, limited by the design cost and manufacturing level, the high price of automobiles made it difficult to achieve large-scale popularization in the global market. The Abigail Foundation firmly believes that automobiles, as a convenient and individual travel tool, will create a very impressive commercial value in the future. Over the years, the team has investigated and explored a number of industry-related projects, and a professional team configuration has been formed, and a systematic IT hardware support has been established, specifically for risk analysis of the project market.

Today, the global automotive market has already broken through trillions. As an early witness in the industry, Abigail has has gained a large amount of financial returns due to its outstanding foresight. Now it has become a Singapore veteran industrial investment foundation with resident office covering 27 countries around the world.

Dig into the automotive supply chain

Since its establishment, the Abigail Foundation has invested in more than 100 corporate projects. After the 2008 financial crisis, Abigail shifted the focus of investment from Europe and the United States to Asia. The fund currently manages assets valued at more than 500 million U.S. dollars with 126 business offices around the world, and has more than 400 employees.
The automobile industry is one of the earlier investment fields in the history of the Abigail Foundation. In the early 1990s, automobile manufacturers represented by Germany and Japan promoted the vigorous development of the global automobile industry chain. Innovations in technological research and development and financial management blossomed frequently all over the world, and automobiles as a cultural value symbol quickly formed brands. As a result, many large automobile manufacturing companies became the most profitable batch of commercial projects at the time, and investors were eager for this industry.

The famous fund manager John Templeton once said: “If you want to perform better than most people, you have to act differently from most people.” Since ancient times, only a few people have been able to get high profit in investing. So the Abigail Foundation is also determined not to "crush", but to find a way for fewer people to take the same value.
I have to mention Lucien Kelvin, the chairman of the foundation, who has influenced the main investment direction of the foundation to a large extent. Lucien, a former supply-chain entrepreneur and co-founder of the Abigail Foundation and a Cambridge alumnus, after the former chairman of the foundation stepped down, he was invited to join the foundation. At that time, the global supply chain was moving towards refined development. Lucien found that the automotive supply chain had huge market opportunities, which happened to be an area he was familiar with.
Automobiles are complex assembly products. At that time, automobile manufacturing has realized assembly line integration. Large-scale automobile companies purchase industrial parts produced by upstream company to produce complete vehicles. However, because of this, the quality of cars on the market is uneven. Manufacturers' finished products may also have obvious differences in accessories, and sometimes the risk of failure is irreconcilable. For example, the third-generation Ford Explorer Tyre Firestone has safety risks such as abnormal wear.
Similar to the facts faced by most industries, most of the resources and funds in the auto market flow to a very small number of companies, who have the right to speak, and similarly, the business they need to deal with is also accumulating, and the market is increasingly emphasizing the commercial applications of supply chain services.

Lucien sees the importance of supply chain optimization to auto companies. From raw material collection to logistics management, Abigail has targeted innovative companies in the supply chain system, and is considered one of the earliest investment institutions in the world to deploy this. At the beginning of the 21st century, the supply chain has improved its application in financial management and risk hedging, and Abigail has always followed the trend and has successively participated in related investments in Valeo, Linamar, Aisin and other projects. In the automotive supply chain project, Abigail received more than 60 times reward compared to the normal market return.

Have a global perspective and continue to gain value

The Abigail Foundation can be regarded as a "prestigious" background. Most of its core team members come from Ivy League schools and have more than 8 years of experience in their respective professional fields.
Under this management background, Abigail has certain advantages in resource strength, contacts and the pulse of the industry’s foresight. This is also one of the reasons why the foundation can continue to grow and develop. Abigail has Defined as an investor in the global On-Demand industry, it pursues innovative, flexible, and open value-based enterprise investment, as well as the automobile and derivative commodity systems.
The foundation has always adopted an open and inclusive investment mentality when evaluating industries and projects. It not only invests in the automotive supply chain, but also includes diversified automotive derivative services. Its investment projects include the once-hot shared travel economy, and now it has not been absent from the newly emerging directions of financial leasing, market monitoring, and MaaS. Abigail's strategy has always been to strive for early entry, and it continues to integrate resources, looking at the development of the industry under the global financial trend, in many business investment games, keenness has gradually become the characteristic of Abigail.
In the middle and late last century, the United States took the lead in deindustrialization, and then this wave gradually moved westward, and a large number of manufacturing enterprises flowed out to developing countries. Taking advantage of this trend, Abigail quickly invested in a number of technology-based companies in Southeast Asia. As the local trade surplus gradually increased, the foundation quickly accumulated a large amount of asset wealth. As a secondary market investment institution, Abigail soon invested a large amount of capital in the stock market, through two-handed operation realized resource On-Demand. Riding on the hurricane of the rise of the Internet era, Abigail continues to deepen the field of automotive and interconnected intelligence integration. In the past two years, the foundation has been in China, India, and Canada added 5 new investment projects based on automotive data intelligent services.

After 33 years of development, the team operates the foundation with the management standards of the mature capital market. They hope to build Abigail into an ecological value condensate. In recent years, Abigail has continued to increase innovation in the automotive field. Business model and investment in the direction of 5G and industrial Internet of Things, and pay close attention to business opportunities in the long tail market.

Nowadays, affected by the global trade and economic environment, the activity of international investment events has declined, but the auto parts supply chain and innovative technology companies are still able to obtain large amounts of financing. Abigail believes that the current background is an opportunity worth grasping, because there are often many companies whose value is underestimated. The foundation still maintains its own pace of action and makes progress. Not long ago, News from Abigail said that many of its funds have achieved positive returns. Generally speaking, Abigail is relatively satisfied with the current investment performance.
The automobile industry is time-honored and new. It has gone through the steam age, the electrical age, and the Internet age. Now the entire industry has once again experienced the subversion of thinking and technology. Faced with time after time, the automobile industry will still be full of power and catch up. And Abigail will continue to stand on highland, survey the overall situation, and begin a new round of challenges as a value catcher.
submitted by motorcarchain to u/motorcarchain [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning March 2nd, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week and month ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning March 2nd, 2020.

Stock rout may deepen in the week ahead as coronavirus impact starts to show up in economic data - (Source)

Stock investors just experienced one of the nastiest weeks in history that recorded the S&P 500′s fastest correction on record, but hold on tight, the market might have more room to fall as the coronavirus damage starts to creep into upcoming economic data, analysts warned.
Major U.S. stock averages suffered their worst week since the financial crisis as fears about the coronavirus disrupting the global economy scared investors away from risk assets. However, stocks might still be searching for a bottom next week when investors grapple with a slew of economic data potentially dragged down by the outbreak.
The Institute for Supply Management will release its manufacturing gauge on Monday. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve will publish its latest Beige Book on Wednesday, which will detail anecdotal information on current economic conditions. Many expect U.S. manufacturing to have taken a hit from the coronavirus.
“Look out for ISM surveys and Beige Book for early signs of COVID-19 impact,” Michelle Meyer, Bank of America’s head of U.S. economics, said in a note Friday. “It will take time for the ‘hard’ economic data to show the impact but we are already seeing evidence in early economic indicators.”
Weekend action? The outlook for the week could be changed this weekend by coronavirus headlines or by some sort of intervention by central banks. Expectations are rising on Wall Street that there could be some potential move from the Federal Reserve to get ahead of what could be another rough week.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Friday the central bank is monitoring the coronavirus and pledged action if necessary. Meanwhile, former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh recommended the Fed act as quickly as Sunday before the markets reopen. The market is already pricing in a 100% chance of at least one rate cut at the Fed’s March policy meeting.
Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, is worried about the cascading effect of coronavirus hitting upcoming economic data points. “ISM manufacturing is going to be widely scrutinized,” he said.
The ISM manufacturing index rose to a reading of 50.9 last month, the highest level since July (Any reading above 50 signals expansion.) Bank of America expects ISM manufacturing to pull back to 50.0 and said Fed Beige Book may provide “early insight” into the U.S. economic impact from the deadly virus.
Cutting forecasts Next week, investors will also likely grapple with more warnings from major companies about broken supply chains and easing demand due to the outbreak.
Apple, Microsoft, Nike and United Airlines have all sounded alarms that they will not meet their earnings and revenue guidance because of the virus.
Wall Street strategists this week were quick to slash their forecasts on corporate earnings and the stock market. Barclays sees the S&P 500 to end the year at 3,000, down from a previous forecast of 3,300. The bank also expects a 2% drop in profits this year. Meanwhile, Goldman said it sees zero earnings growth for American companies in 2020.
To be sure, some believe the steep stock rout has gone too far too fast, betting on at least a small rebound.
“The level of panic has become very extreme and the level of downside price movement is pretty extreme. All of that is to me more of a sign that we are getting closer to the beginning of the end of it,” Paulsen said.
Another source of support could come from the Trump administration, where officials are discussing tax cuts, among other economic reactions, as one option to make up for the economic impact of the coronavirus, the Washington Post reported Friday.
Still, investors will have to be on edge for a while now with more virus headlines, as well as the key Super Tuesday Democratic primaries. Some notable investors including “bond king” Jeffrey Gundlach blamed the rise of Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders for helping accelerate massive sell-off.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:


Major Indices for this past week:


Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:


Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:


Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:


Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:


S&P Sectors for the Past Week:


Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:


Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:


Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:


Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:


Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:


Gauging Potential Economic Impact of Covid-19

The coronavirus outbreak—or Covid-19 —has caused significant market volatility over the past week. Our approach as always is to focus on economic fundamentals first, but the uncertainty around the scope of the outbreak has made it very difficult to assess potential impact. The situation clearly is unsettling for investors as more cases are reported across Europe and Asia, and the first case of community transmission has been reported in the United States. As this was written, the S&P 500 Index was 10% below its February 19 all-time high.
“The Covid-19 outbreak continues to significantly disrupt economic activity in China and throughout Asia,” said LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. “Given that China is such a big component of many global supply chains, we will almost certainly see weaker economic data globally over the next several months.”
Even as the situation remains fluid and very uncertain, we want to provide some sense of the potential U.S. and global economic impact.
China: If virus containment holds in China, which is our base case, we could see something like a 3–4 percentage point impact to Chinese economic growth in the first quarter—possibly 2–3% gross domestic product (GDP) growth rather than 5–6%—followed by a much more modest hit in the second quarter. We think we would see a return to trend growth by the third quarter of 2020. This scenario would put China’s 2020 GDP growth below the current 5.6% Bloomberg-tracked consensus, shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, and the Chinese government’s previous 6% annual target. In other words, China’s GDP growth in 2020 could end up closer to 5% than 6%.
United States: At this point, our base case is that any economic disruption in the United States may be modest and short-lived, as we expect domestic efforts at containment to be more successful and have less economic disruption than in China. The outbreak may trim 0.25–0.5% from U.S. GDP over the next couple of months due to global supply chain disruption, falling export demand, and decreased tourism. If evidence emerges over the next month or so that the virus is being contained successfully, as we expect, the economic impact would likely be at the better end of that range (0.25%). In that scenario, damage to business and consumer confidence would be limited, setting the stage for a potential second-quarter rebound. We believe our 1.75% U.S. GDP growth forecast may still be achievable.
Global: In the short-term, the collective hits to global GDP from China, South Korea, Japan, and Italy—the countries where the outbreak impact has been greatest to date—may comprise 0.2–0.3% of global GDP. Our latest global GDP forecast of 3.5% from our Outlook 2020 publication is probably a bit too high in light of the latest news. We expect to update or reaffirm our economic forecasts once we have more clarity around Covid-19 impact in the weeks ahead.

Can the Market Bottom on a Friday?

It's often said that equity markets can't bottom on a Friday. One of the reasons for this line of thinking is that during a market downturn, no one wants to hold onto or bid up equities into a weekend for fear of further bad news. It may just be a matter of semantics, but based on that line of reasoning, the more accurate way to phrase it would be that markets can't bottom on a Thursday or rallies can't begin on a Friday. However you want to think about it, the chart below shows the number of times the closing low of a 10%+ correction has occurred on various weekdays.
Of the 97 S&P 500 corrections since 1928, the day of the week that has marked the low close of a 10%+ decline the least frequently is actually Wednesday with only 10. Behind Wednesday, Friday has been the second most infrequent day of the week for a bottom (15), and Thursday is the only other day of the week where the S&P 500 has made a low on a closing basis less than 20 times. The days of the week where the S&P 500 most frequently bottoms are Monday and Tuesday with 26 and 28, respectively.
Regarding bear markets (20%+ declines), the trend is very similar. Bear markets have been the least likely to end on a Wednesday or Friday and most likely to end on a Tuesday.

Dividend Stock Spotlight: S&P 500's Highest Yielders From The Sell-Off

Given the lower prices of stocks, dividend yields have been on the rise over the past couple of weeks. The dividend yield of the S&P 500 now stands at 2.12% which is the highest since June 3rd of last year when it reached the same level, but only stayed there for a single day. Prior to that, yields were only higher during the Q4 2018 sell-off through February of 2019. At the beginning of the current sell-off on February 19th, the S&P 500's yield was 26 bps lower at 1.86%.
Of the individual stocks in the index, there are now 81 stocks that have dividend yields of 4% or more. That compares to only 64 at the beginning of the sell-off. In the table below, we show the 25 highest yielders of the S&P 500 as well as the price change and change in the dividend yield since the 2/19 record high. As shown, there is only one stock, Macy's (M), that yields over 10% at the moment. This major retailer has fallen out of favor in the past few years but the stock has gotten crushed since the 2/19 market peak having fallen just under 21% in that time. That decline has raised the dividend yield by 2.44 percentage points, but there is one other stock that has seen its yield increase by even more. That stock is Occidental Petroleum (OXY), the second-highest yielder in the index (9.93%). Being an Energy name, OXY has fallen the most dramatically (-29.05%) since 2/19 of all the highest yielders.
While there is a lot of overlap, in the table below we show the stocks that have seen their dividend yields rise the most as stocks have declined since 2/19. Again OXY and M top the list. While no other stocks have seen their dividend yields increase by more than 2 percentage points, there are another 17 who have risen by at least 1 percentage point. Notably, two cruise line stocks, Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean (RCL) find themselves on this list. Carnival (CCL) now yields 6.28% while Royal Caribbean (RCL) yields 4.05%.

The Biggest Losers (and a few winners)

It is no secret that energy stocks have gotten crushed this year, and the list of the 25 worst-performing stocks in the Russell 1000 since the previous record close on February 19th is a prime example of this. Seven energy stocks find themselves on this list, two of which, Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and Kosmos Energy (KOS), take up the number one and two spots having fallen 45.73% and 41.95%, respectively since 2/19. CHK had already been weak headed into the broader market sell-off with a YTD loss on 2/19 over 40%; the past week has added fuel to the fire as it is now down 68.5% YTD. Continental (CLR), Centennial Resource Development (CDEV), Transocean (RIG), and Apergy (APY) are other energy stocks that were down 20% or more on the year headed into this sell-off, and each one has fallen another 20%+ since the 19th. While most of the other biggest losers since 2/19 had already been down on the year, there are some that have seen their gains in 2020 get erased due to this sell-off like Nutanix (NTNX), Qurate Retail (QRTEA), Anaplan (PLAN), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Chemours (CC), and CommScope (COMM). Some other notable losers of this group have been those heavily reliant on travel like American Airlines (AAL) and the cruise line stocks like Norwegian (NCLH) and Royal Caribbean (RCL).
Given how breadth has been over the past week, it may not come as any surprise that since the February 19th high there are only 18 stocks of 1000 in the Russell 1000 index that are higher. Four of those are up less than one percent. In the table below we show all of these stocks. Given the sell-off has centered around coronavirus fears, it is sensical that a coronavirus vaccine developer Moderna (MRNA) is the best performing stock since 2/19. What is amazing is there was not much momentum with this name headed into the sell-off. As of 2/19, the stock was actually down 3.27% year to date, but as the Covid-19 saga has moved along it is now up well north of 30% on the year. A few other health care names like Regeneron (REGN) and Gilead (GILD) have also benefited from the coronavirus.
The histogram below shows the distribution of performance of Russell 1000 stocks since 2/19. As mentioned above, there are very few stocks in the index that are up since the 2/19 high. The highest share of stocks are down between 10% and 15% while the next highest share are down between 5% and 10%. Of the worst decliners, there are 75 stocks that have fallen over 20%.
Looking at the individual sectors, again Energy was extremely weak even before equities sold off. On 2/19, the average Energy stock in the Russell 1000 in that sector was down 15.6% YTD. While they hadn't tipped into the red yet, Consumer Staples were only up 1 bp.
Since the 2/19 high for the US equity market, the average stock in the Russell 1,000 is down well over 10%. The average Energy stock is down the most at -21%, followed by Communication Services and Technology at -13%. Consumer Staples stocks have performed the best with an average decline of 8.9%.
This leaves every sector down year-to-date. Utilities have generally outperformed only falling 2.3%, but the sector is sitting on a loss nonetheless. Of the worst sectors, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and of course Energy have fallen 10% or more.

Global Equity Benchmarks Distance From YTD Highs

The recent equity sell-off has clearly been global in nature as concerns of a global pandemic rise. Perhaps the most surprising aspect of the way equities have sold off recently is that the country that has been hardest hit by the virus is closer to its YTD high than any other major global equity benchmark. The chart below shows the distance that each major global equity benchmark has declined relative to its YTD high. China's Shanghai Composite is down just 4.45%, which is better than any other country shown. Sure, you could argue that the Chinese government is manipulating the market and prohibiting investors from selling, but even the ETF that tracks the CSI 300 (ASHR) is down less than 6%, so anyone could go in and trade at these levels. Manipulated or not, the numbers are the numbers.
At the bottom of the list, Brazil's Ibovespa index is down more than any other country at 11.6% and that country has only reported one confirmed case so far. With respect to US indices, the Russell 2000 is down the second most of any major global benchmark (-9.19%), while the Nasdaq is down the fourth most at 8.68%. Even the S&P 500 is down close to 8%. These weak US readings come in a backdrop where there have only been 57 confirmed cases and all but a couple are instances where Americans contracted the virus outside of the United States and have been brought to the US under quarantine. Join Bespoke Premium to access Bespoke's most actionable stock market research and analysis.

Just Four S&P 500 Stocks Up This Week

There's still another day left in the week, but unless things improve on Friday this will go down as one of the worst weeks for US equities in history. Since WWII, there have only been four other weeks where the S&P 500 was down more than 10% in a given week. On a related note, there are also only four stocks in the entire S&P 500 that are positive for the week! Leading the way higher, Regeneron (REGN) is up a healthy 7.1% while Gilead (GILD) is up just over 4%. Behind these two, the only other stocks that are higher now than they were at last Friday's close are Clorox (CLX) and CME Group (CME).
On the downside, there are a lot more losers, but in the interest of space, below we have only listed the 17 stocks in the S&P 500 that are down over 20% this week alone. Looking through the names on the list, the cruise lines are well represented with Royal Caribbean (RCL), Norwegian Cruise Lines (NCLH), and Carnival (CCL). Besides these names, American Airlines (AAL) is down 26%, while Live Nation (LYV) is down 22.2%.
One thing we've heard a number of people argue the last few days is that some of the weakness this week is related to the increasing likelihood that Bernie Sanders wins the Democratic nomination. If that's the case, why is not a single one of the worst-performing stocks from the Health Care sector, and why is the Health Care sector the third best performing sector this week and one of just four that is not down 10% so far this week?
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $TGT
  • $PLUG
  • $JD
  • $ZM
  • $COST
  • $TLRY
  • $AZO
  • $KSS
  • $SPLK
  • $DLTR
  • $VEEV
  • $XRAY
  • $SE
  • $MRVL
  • $FOLD
  • $KR
  • $OKTA
  • $STNE
  • $BLDP
  • $BURL
  • $CIEN
  • $ALBO
  • $MAXR
  • $ANF
  • $ITCI
  • $FNKO
  • $JWN
  • $EPRT
  • $VIPS
  • $GTT
  • $CORE
  • $BNFT
  • $LVGO
  • $EVRG
  • $ROST
  • $EGRX
  • $AOBC
  • $TGLS
  • $ATRS
  • $HPE
  • $NWN
  • $WVE
  • $WSC
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 3.2.20 Before Market Open:


Monday 3.2.20 After Market Close:


Tuesday 3.3.20 Before Market Open:


Tuesday 3.3.20 After Market Close:


Wednesday 3.4.20 Before Market Open:


Wednesday 3.4.20 After Market Close:


Thursday 3.5.20 Before Market Open:


Thursday 3.5.20 After Market Close:


Friday 3.6.20 Before Market Open:


Friday 3.6.20 After Market Close:


Target Corp. $103.00

Target Corp. (TGT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.66 per share on revenue of $23.49 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.68 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 8.50% with revenue increasing by 2.23%. On Friday, February 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,641 contracts of the $100.00 put expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020.


Plug Power, Inc. $4.34

Plug Power, Inc. (PLUG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.06 per share on revenue of $90.15 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.05) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 25.00% with revenue increasing by 50.70%. Short interest has increased by 29.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 59.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 39.8% above its 200 day moving average of $3.10. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 17, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,010 contracts of the $5.00 put expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.1% move in recent quarters.


JD.com, Inc. $38.51

JD.com, Inc. (JD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:00 AM ET on Monday, March 2, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.44 per share on revenue of $23.81 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 1,000.00% with revenue increasing by 21.41%. Short interest has decreased by 9.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 9.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.4% above its 200 day moving average of $32.25. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 12, 2020 there was some notable buying of 8,001 contracts of the $38.00 put expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.3% move in recent quarters.


Zoom Video Communications, Inc. $105.00

Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.07 per share on revenue of $176.36 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.10 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 82% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $0.07 per share on revenue of $175.00 million to $176.00 million. The stock has drifted higher by 63.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 29.0% above its 200 day moving average of $81.40. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 12.1% move on earnings in recent quarters.


Costco Wholesale Corp. $281.14

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.06 per share on revenue of $38.34 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.10 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 2.49% with revenue increasing by 8.32%. Short interest has decreased by 9.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 4.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.6% below its 200 day moving average of $285.72. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, February 27, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,125 contracts of the $285.00 put expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.8% move in recent quarters.


Tilray, Inc. $14.43

Tilray, Inc. (TLRY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Monday, March 2, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.34 per share on revenue of $55.35 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.40) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 51% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 3.03% with revenue increasing by 256.38%. Short interest has increased by 25.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 32.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 49.5% below its 200 day moving average of $28.57. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,011 contracts of the $15.00 call expiring on Friday, April 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 26.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.5% move in recent quarters.


AutoZone, Inc. -

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $11.87 per share on revenue of $2.58 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $12.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 3.31% with revenue increasing by 5.28%. Short interest has decreased by 7.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 16.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.3% below its 200 day moving average of $1,113.49. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 8.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.1% move in recent quarters.


Kohl's Corporation $39.15

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.92 per share on revenue of $6.80 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.91 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 40% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 14.29% with revenue decreasing by 0.34%. Short interest has decreased by 2.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 19.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.9% below its 200 day moving average of $48.86. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, February 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 809 contracts of the $40.00 put expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 9.5% move in recent quarters.


Splunk Inc. $147.33

Splunk Inc. (SPLK) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.96 per share on revenue of $783.94 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.00 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 91% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of approximately $780.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 31.51% with revenue increasing by 26.02%. Short interest has increased by 2.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 9.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.8% above its 200 day moving average of $132.95. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,414 contracts of the $155.00 call expiring on Friday, March 6, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 13.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.6% move in recent quarters.


Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. $83.03

Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. (DLTR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.75 per share on revenue of $6.39 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.75 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.70 to $1.80 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 9.33% with revenue increasing by 2.98%. Short interest has decreased by 7.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 13.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.9% below its 200 day moving average of $101.15. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,974 contracts of the $85.00 call expiring on Friday, March 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 9.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.9% move in recent quarters.



What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead stocks.
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